Tennis · WTA Jingshan · 30/09, 04:00
Prediction: Haruka Kaji vs Emerson Jones
Team pages: Haruka Kaji · Emerson Jones
Prediction summary
Winner
Haruka Kaji
Emerson Jones
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Haruka Kaji
5-5 (W-L)
Emerson Jones
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Haruka Kaji 1475 · Emerson Jones 1451
| Haruka Kaji | Emerson Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Emerson Jones makes many double faults (7.8/match).
Statistics
| Haruka Kaji | Emerson Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 0.9-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-11.5 | 11.8-13.5 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 7.8 |
| 1st serve % | 53.6% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 51.1% | 53.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Haruka Kaji
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Darya Astakhova WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 10/09 | Alexandra Shubladze W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Anastasia Kulikova W50 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Han Shi W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 02/09 | Yufei Ren W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Elena Milovanovic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Amandine Hesse W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/08 | Lidia Encheva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Sakura Hosogi W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Taylah Preston WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Emerson Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Yexin Ma WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Suzan Lamens US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 11/08 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 03/08 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Madison Brengle WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Carol Zhao WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/07 | Ayana Akli W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Anastasia Gasanova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Haruka Kaji vs Emerson Jones?
Our model gives 59% to Emerson Jones, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.