Tennis · WTA Jingshan · 30/09, 04:00
Prediction: Sara Saito vs Chenting Zhu
Team pages: Sara Saito · Chenting Zhu
Prediction summary
Winner
Sara Saito
Chenting Zhu
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Sara Saito
5-5 (W-L)
Chenting Zhu
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sara Saito 1449 · Chenting Zhu 1541
| Sara Saito | Chenting Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chenting Zhu (rating 1449 vs 1541).
- Chenting Zhu is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Sara Saito makes many double faults (10.1/match).
- Note: Chenting Zhu makes many double faults (6.8/match).
Statistics
| Sara Saito | Chenting Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-13.2 | 10.7-10.2 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 10.1 | 6.8 |
| 1st serve % | 59% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 43.6% | 41.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sara Saito
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/09 | En Shuo Liang WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Xinxin Yao W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Viktoria Morvayova W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Reese Brantmeier W100 Landisville |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 31/07 | Kylie Collins W75 Lexington |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 30/07 | Erika Sema W75 Lexington |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Luciana Perry W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Kayla Cross W75 Granby |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Chenting Zhu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Albina Kakenova W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 16/09 | Han Shi W35 Shenyang |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Yuhan Wang W35 Shenyang |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 13/09 | Yu-Yun Li W35 Shenyang |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/09 | Chia Yi Tsao W15 Yeongwol |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Miyu Nakashima W15 Yeongwol |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Yujin Kim W15 Yeongwol |
1-1 | 9-10 | L |
| 03/09 | Sunam Jeong W15 Yeongwol |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 02/09 | Himari Sato W15 Yeongwol |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/08 | Peangtarn Plipuech W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sara Saito vs Chenting Zhu?
Our model gives 53% to Sara Saito, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.