Tennis · WTA Jingshan · 30/09, 04:00
Prediction: Kristina Mladenovic vs Sofia Costoulas
Team pages: Kristina Mladenovic · Sofia Costoulas
Prediction summary
Winner
Kristina Mladenovic
Sofia Costoulas
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Kristina Mladenovic
3-7 (W-L)
Sofia Costoulas
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kristina Mladenovic 1417 · Sofia Costoulas 1497
| Kristina Mladenovic | Sofia Costoulas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sofia Costoulas (rating 1417 vs 1497).
- Sofia Costoulas is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Kristina Mladenovic makes many double faults (6.9/match).
Statistics
| Kristina Mladenovic | Sofia Costoulas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.9 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-13.8 | 11.9-10.6 |
| Aces | 2 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 6.9 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 57% | 73.4% |
| Break % | 51.9% | 47.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kristina Mladenovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Nao Hibino WTA Singapore · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Elvina Kalieva US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Valentina Ryser WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Xiyu Wang French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann WTA Oeiras · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/04 | Carmen Andreea Herea Billie Jean King Cup |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/03 | Mary Stoiana WTA Charleston · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 17/02 | Yidi Yang WTA Les Sables d'Olonne · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 13/01 | Chloe Paquet Australian Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Sofia Costoulas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Singapore · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 08/09 | Hina Inoue W50 Guiyang |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 04/09 | Zhuoxuan Bai W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Kristiana Sidorova W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/09 | Shiyu Ye W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Elvina Kalieva US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 26/08 | Jennifer Ruggeri US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/08 | Matilde Jorge W35 Vigo |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Sofia Camila Rojas W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/08 | Eva Alvarez Sande W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kristina Mladenovic vs Sofia Costoulas?
Our model gives 71% to Sofia Costoulas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.