Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 02/10, 03:30
Prediction: Xavier Calvelo vs Luca Ostovany
Team pages: Xavier Calvelo · Luca Ostovany
Prediction summary
Winner
Xavier Calvelo
Luca Ostovany
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Xavier Calvelo
8-2 (W-L)
Luca Ostovany
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xavier Calvelo 1560 · Luca Ostovany 1469
| Xavier Calvelo | Luca Ostovany | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Xavier Calvelo (rating 1560 vs 1469).
- Xavier Calvelo is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Xavier Calvelo | Luca Ostovany | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-10.1 | 11.4-12 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 44.3% | 58.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xavier Calvelo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Adam Chodur UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Peter Jorniak UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/08 | Jacob Brumm UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 05/08 | Holland Snell UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | George Hakopian UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Douglas Yaffa UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 18/07 | Benjamin Sparks UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/07 | Robert Yang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Alexander Frusina M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Roberto Ferrer Guimaraes M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Luca Ostovany
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Adam Chodur UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/09 | Jan Kobierski UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 19/09 | Matei Gavrea UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 19/09 | Bautista Durrels Rojo UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Siddharth Bharadwaj UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Pablo Robledo Hoyos UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/09 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Mario Garcia UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
| 30/08 | Mason Tran UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 28/08 | Cayden Wang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xavier Calvelo vs Luca Ostovany?
Our model gives 78% to Xavier Calvelo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.