Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 30/09, 20:00
Prediction: Adam Chodur vs Xavier Calvelo
Team pages: Adam Chodur · Xavier Calvelo
Prediction summary
Winner
Adam Chodur
Xavier Calvelo
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Adam Chodur
3-7 (W-L)
Xavier Calvelo
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Adam Chodur
1–0
Xavier Calvelo
(1 last)
- 01 Aug2-1 18-14W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adam Chodur 1508 · Xavier Calvelo 1557
| Adam Chodur | Xavier Calvelo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Xavier Calvelo (rating 1508 vs 1557).
- Head-to-head: Adam Chodur 1–0 Xavier Calvelo (1).
Statistics
| Adam Chodur | Xavier Calvelo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-12.9 | 12.1-9.9 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 53.8% | 44.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Adam Chodur 1 – 0 Xavier Calvelo (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Adam Chodur 1–0 Xavier Calvelo
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/25 UTR Pro Los Angeles | 2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adam Chodur
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Luca Ostovany UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 28/09 | Peter Jorniak UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 25/08 | Carson Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/05 | Yashwin Krishnakumar UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 30/04 | Liam Alvarez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/04 | Dylan Varughese UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/04 | Dev Mangat UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 27/04 | Rohan Sachdev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/01 | George Hakopian UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 08/01 | Max K Fardanesh UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
Xavier Calvelo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Peter Jorniak UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/08 | Jacob Brumm UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 05/08 | Holland Snell UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | George Hakopian UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Douglas Yaffa UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 18/07 | Benjamin Sparks UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/07 | Robert Yang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Alexander Frusina M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Roberto Ferrer Guimaraes M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/06 | Robert Yang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adam Chodur vs Xavier Calvelo?
Our model gives 73% to Xavier Calvelo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.