Tennis · Challenger Curitiba · 29/09, 15:00
Prediction: Miguel Tobon vs Juan Bautista Torres
Team pages: Miguel Tobon · Juan Bautista Torres
Prediction summary
Winner
Miguel Tobon
Juan Bautista Torres
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Miguel Tobon
5-5 (W-L)
Juan Bautista Torres
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Miguel Tobon
0–3
Juan Bautista Torres
(3 last)
- 14 May1-2 12-18L
- 18 Nov0-2 7-13L
- 28 Oct0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Miguel Tobon 1470 · Juan Bautista Torres 1534
| Miguel Tobon | Juan Bautista Torres | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juan Bautista Torres (rating 1470 vs 1534).
- Head-to-head: Miguel Tobon 0–3 Juan Bautista Torres (3).
Statistics
| Miguel Tobon | Juan Bautista Torres | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-12.1 | 11.4-10.8 |
| Aces | 3 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 60.3% |
| Break % | 49.3% | 49.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Miguel Tobon 0 – 3 Juan Bautista Torres (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Miguel Tobon 0–3 Juan Bautista Torres
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/26 Challenger Cordoba | 1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 18/11/25 Challenger Florianopolis | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/10/25 Challenger Lima | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miguel Tobon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Koray Kirci Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/08 | Pietro Orlando Fellin Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/08 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 26/07 | Bernard Tomic ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 20/07 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 13/07 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Juan Bautista Torres
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 17/08 | Marek Gengel Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 14/08 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Filippo Romano Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 04/08 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Nikolai Barsukov Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/08 | Fons Van Sambeek Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 30/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Miguel Tobon vs Juan Bautista Torres?
Our model gives 66% to Juan Bautista Torres, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.