Tennis · Challenger Curitiba · 29/09, 15:00
Prediction: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Team pages: Gonzalo Villanueva · Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Prediction summary
Winner
Gonzalo Villanueva
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Gonzalo Villanueva
7-3 (W-L)
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gonzalo Villanueva
1–2
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
(3 last)
- 26 Nov1-2 15-17L
- 28 Sept0-2 6-12L
- 22 Aug2-1 14-14W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gonzalo Villanueva 1545 · Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 1503
| Gonzalo Villanueva | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gonzalo Villanueva (rating 1545 vs 1503).
- Head-to-head: Gonzalo Villanueva 1–2 Juan Carlos Prado Angelo (3).
Statistics
| Gonzalo Villanueva | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-8.5 | 11.7-12 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 61.7% |
| Break % | 51.9% | 55.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Gonzalo Villanueva 1 – 2 Juan Carlos Prado Angelo (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gonzalo Villanueva 1–2 Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/25 Challenger Temuco | 1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 28/09/23 M25 Lujan | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/08/23 Challenger Lima | 2-1 | 14-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gonzalo Villanueva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 29/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Mar Del Plata |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 28/08 | Santiago De La Fuente M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Vito Antonio Darderi M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Leonel Cesar Castro M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 22/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Dakotah Bobo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 20/08 | Bastian Malla M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 19/08 | Felipe De Dios M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 24/08 | Tomas Barrios Vera US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 20/08 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 19/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 18/08 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 27/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 18/07 | Taro Daniel ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gonzalo Villanueva vs Juan Carlos Prado Angelo?
Our model gives 59% to Juan Carlos Prado Angelo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.