Tennis · Challenger Curitiba · 29/09, 15:00
Prediction: Lucas Andrade da Silva vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Team pages: Lucas Andrade da Silva · Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucas Andrade da Silva
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Lucas Andrade da Silva
3-7 (W-L)
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucas Andrade da Silva 1546 · Genaro Alberto Olivieri 1488
| Lucas Andrade da Silva | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucas Andrade da Silva (rating 1546 vs 1488).
- Note: Lucas Andrade da Silva makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Lucas Andrade da Silva | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-12.1 | 11.1-12.1 |
| Aces | 8.3 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 5 | 0.7 |
| 1st serve % | 74.6% | 58.9% |
| Break % | 28.9% | 36% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucas Andrade da Silva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Tyler Zink Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 17/08 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/08 | Pietro Orlando Fellin Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Juan Estevez M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Mateus Alves M25 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 21/07 | Benjamin Torrealba M25 Sao Paulo |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 10/07 | Matias Soto Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 08/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 10/09 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Dali Blanch Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 01/09 | Niels Visker Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 26/08 | Tomas Barrios Vera US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Guy Den Ouden US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 30/07 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Carlos Taberner Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucas Andrade da Silva vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri?
Our model gives 51% to Genaro Alberto Olivieri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.