Tennis · Challenger Curitiba · 29/09, 15:00
Prediction: Matias Soto vs Lautaro Midon
Team pages: Matias Soto · Lautaro Midon
Prediction summary
Winner
Matias Soto
Lautaro Midon
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Matias Soto
4-6 (W-L)
Lautaro Midon
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Matias Soto
1–0
Lautaro Midon
(1 last)
- 01 Nov2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matias Soto 1499 · Lautaro Midon 1533
| Matias Soto | Lautaro Midon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Matias Soto 1–0 Lautaro Midon (1).
Statistics
| Matias Soto | Lautaro Midon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-10.6 | 11.8-11.3 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 74.6% |
| Break % | 38.3% | 51.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Matias Soto 1 – 0 Lautaro Midon (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Matias Soto 1–0 Lautaro Midon
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/24 ITF M25 Lajeado | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matias Soto
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Martin Landaluce Davis Cup |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Tulln · Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 07/09 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves M25 Sao Paulo |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Rafael Tosetto M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Lautaro Midon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Kyrian Jacquet US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Dan Martin Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 16/07 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 13/07 | Igor Marcondes ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 12/07 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matias Soto vs Lautaro Midon?
Our model gives 58% to Lautaro Midon, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.