Tennis · Challenger Curitiba · 29/09, 15:00
Prediction: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate
Team pages: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves · Carlos Maria Zarate
Prediction summary
Winner
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Carlos Maria Zarate
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
4-6 (W-L)
Carlos Maria Zarate
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 1508 · Carlos Maria Zarate 1585
| Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carlos Maria Zarate (rating 1508 vs 1585).
Statistics
| Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-12 | 10.7-8.5 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 72% |
| Break % | 43.6% | 45.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Manacor · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Dalibor Svrcina US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Moise Kouame Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Dali Blanch Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/08 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Maximo Zeitune M25 Londrina |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 06/08 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl M25 Londrina |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 05/08 | Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Carlos Maria Zarate
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/09 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Felix Corwin M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Valentino Grippo M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Giovanni Branchetti M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Nicolas Bruna M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Mar Del Plata |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Bastian Malla M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 28/08 | Tomas Martinez M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Santiago Giamichelle M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate?
Our model gives 55% to Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.