Tennis · Challenger Curitiba · 27/09, 15:00
Prediction: Jefferson Wendler Filho vs Juan Sebastian Osorio
Team pages: Jefferson Wendler Filho · Juan Sebastian Osorio
Prediction summary
Winner
Jefferson Wendler Filho
Juan Sebastian Osorio
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Jefferson Wendler Filho
2-8 (W-L)
Juan Sebastian Osorio
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jefferson Wendler Filho 1439 · Juan Sebastian Osorio 1548
| Jefferson Wendler Filho | Juan Sebastian Osorio | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juan Sebastian Osorio (rating 1439 vs 1548).
- Juan Sebastian Osorio is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Jefferson Wendler Filho makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Jefferson Wendler Filho | Juan Sebastian Osorio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.7 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.8-11.3 | 11.6-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 70.6% |
| Break % | 27% | 44% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jefferson Wendler Filho
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Rafael Tosetto M15 Curitiba |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 16/09 | Rafael Tosetto M15 Belem |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 10/09 | Gabriel Schenekenberg M15 Leme |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Alex Hernandez M15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Felipe De Dios M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 14/05 | Mateus Alves M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Eric Martins M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/04 | Rafael Tosetto Challenger Campinas · Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 29/03 | Daniel Antonio Nunez Challenger Sao Leopoldo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Juan Sebastian Osorio
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Pedro Sakamoto M15 Curitiba |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Mauricio Echazu M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/09 | Nicolas Zanellato M15 Belem |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 18/09 | Pedro Sakamoto M15 Belem |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 17/09 | Valentin Garay M15 Belem |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/09 | Rafael Augusto Garcia Finetto M15 Belem |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/08 | Maximo Zeitune M25 Londrina |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Juan Estevez M25 Londrina |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 04/08 | Rafael Tosetto M25 Londrina |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jefferson Wendler Filho vs Juan Sebastian Osorio?
Our model gives 73% to Juan Sebastian Osorio, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.