Tennis · Challenger Bari · 29/09, 10:00
Prediction: Mika Petkovic vs Vitaliy Sachko
Team pages: Mika Petkovic · Vitaliy Sachko
Prediction summary
Winner
Mika Petkovic
Vitaliy Sachko
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Mika Petkovic
2-8 (W-L)
Vitaliy Sachko
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mika Petkovic 1480 · Vitaliy Sachko 1532
| Mika Petkovic | Vitaliy Sachko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vitaliy Sachko (rating 1480 vs 1532).
Statistics
| Mika Petkovic | Vitaliy Sachko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-12.9 | 12.6-11.4 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 69% |
| Break % | 25.5% | 36.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mika Petkovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 24/09 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 14/09 | Felix Gill Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 06/09 | Daniel Salazar Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Porto · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 31/08 | Tiago Torres Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 23/08 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Vitaliy Sachko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 15/09 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Matias Soto Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 09/09 | Marko Topo Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Gauthier Onclin US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 12/08 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 10/08 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mika Petkovic vs Vitaliy Sachko?
Our model gives 60% to Vitaliy Sachko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.