Tennis · Challenger Bari · 29/09, 10:00
Prediction: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Benito Sanchez Martinez
Team pages: Gianluca Cadenasso · Benito Sanchez Martinez
Prediction summary
Winner
Gianluca Cadenasso
Benito Sanchez Martinez
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Gianluca Cadenasso
7-3 (W-L)
Benito Sanchez Martinez
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gianluca Cadenasso 1471 · Benito Sanchez Martinez 1548
| Gianluca Cadenasso | Benito Sanchez Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Benito Sanchez Martinez (rating 1471 vs 1548).
Statistics
| Gianluca Cadenasso | Benito Sanchez Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-12.5 | 11.2-9.1 |
| Aces | 7.9 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 38.3% | 39.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gianluca Cadenasso
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Federico Cina Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Leandro Riedi French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 19/05 | Liam Broady French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/05 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 02/05 | Matteo Arnaldi Challenger Cagliari · Clay |
1-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/05 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Cagliari · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 30/04 | Mattia Bellucci Challenger Cagliari · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/04 | Lorenzo Carboni Challenger Cagliari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Benito Sanchez Martinez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Facundo Mena Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 27/08 | Hynek Barton Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Juan Estevez Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Dominik Recek Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/08 | Alec Beckley Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Alan Wazny M15 Krakow |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Oleksii Krutykh M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 27/06 | Daniel Salazar M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gianluca Cadenasso vs Benito Sanchez Martinez?
Our model gives 52% to Benito Sanchez Martinez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.