Tennis · Challenger Bari · 29/09, 10:00
Prediction: Matteo Sciahbasi vs Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Team pages: Matteo Sciahbasi · Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Prediction summary
Winner
Matteo Sciahbasi
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Matteo Sciahbasi
5-5 (W-L)
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matteo Sciahbasi 1547 · Juan Cruz Martin Manzano 1507
| Matteo Sciahbasi | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matteo Sciahbasi (rating 1547 vs 1507).
- Matteo Sciahbasi is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Matteo Sciahbasi | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9.4 | 11.5-9.7 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 64% |
| Break % | 51.5% | 56.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matteo Sciahbasi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Daniele Rapagnetta M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Lorenzo Angelini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Nikodije Trivunac M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 16/09 | Lorenzo Comino M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Lorenzo Carboni M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Cosimo Banti M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/08 | Iannis Miletich M15 Arad |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/08 | Tudor Batin M15 Arad |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/08 | Anas Mazdrashki M15 Arad |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/08 | Matei Florin Breazu M15 Arad |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/09 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Michele Mecarelli Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/09 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 03/09 | Duje Ajdukovic Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 01/09 | Fausto Tabacco Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matteo Sciahbasi vs Juan Cruz Martin Manzano?
Our model gives 60% to Juan Cruz Martin Manzano, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.