Tennis · Challenger Bari · 27/09, 11:30
Prediction: Federico Arnaboldi vs Federico Iannaccone
Team pages: Federico Arnaboldi · Federico Iannaccone
Prediction summary
Winner
Federico Arnaboldi
Federico Iannaccone
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Arnaboldi
6-4 (W-L)
Federico Iannaccone
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federico Arnaboldi 1475 · Federico Iannaccone 1524
| Federico Arnaboldi | Federico Iannaccone | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Federico Iannaccone (rating 1475 vs 1524).
Statistics
| Federico Arnaboldi | Federico Iannaccone | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-11.8 | 10.8-9.3 |
| Aces | 4.9 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 60% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 55.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federico Arnaboldi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Florian Broska Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Maximilian Marterer Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/09 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 06/09 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Gabriele Crivellaro Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/08 | Leonardo Primucci M25 Fano |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Niccolo Ciavarella M25 Fano |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Federico Iannaccone
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/09 | Tomaso Calla Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/09 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Biella · Clay |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 13/09 | Luca Wiedenmann Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Alexander Weis Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Juan Estevez Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federico Arnaboldi vs Federico Iannaccone?
Our model gives 50% to Federico Arnaboldi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.