Tennis · Challenger Bari · 27/09, 14:30
Prediction: Gianmarco Ferrari vs Filippo Moroni
Team pages: Gianmarco Ferrari · Filippo Moroni
Prediction summary
Winner
Gianmarco Ferrari
Filippo Moroni
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Gianmarco Ferrari
5-5 (W-L)
Filippo Moroni
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gianmarco Ferrari
0–1
Filippo Moroni
(1 last)
- 19 Jun1-2 17-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gianmarco Ferrari 1509 · Filippo Moroni 1458
| Gianmarco Ferrari | Filippo Moroni | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gianmarco Ferrari (rating 1509 vs 1458).
- Head-to-head: Gianmarco Ferrari 0–1 Filippo Moroni (1).
Statistics
| Gianmarco Ferrari | Filippo Moroni | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-10 | 10.1-11.7 |
| Aces | 3 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | 61.7% |
| Break % | 37.8% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Gianmarco Ferrari 0 – 1 Filippo Moroni (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gianmarco Ferrari 0–1 Filippo Moroni
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/23 Challenger Parma | 1-2 | 17-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gianmarco Ferrari
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Samuele Seghetti M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Giannicola Misasi M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 14/09 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Cesare Carpano Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/09 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Andrey Chepelev Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/09 | Francesco Ferrari Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/08 | Andrea Colombo Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 18/08 | Samuele Seghetti M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Filippo Moroni
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Melios Efstathiou M25 Pozzuoli |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Filippo Mazzola M25 Pozzuoli |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Emile Hudd M25 Pozzuoli |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Tiago Pereira M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-7 | L |
| 24/06 | Ivan Dreycopp M25 Porto |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Lorenzo Ferri M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 23/04 | Matteo Martineau M25 Angers · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 22/04 | Ryan Nijboer M25 Angers · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 29/03 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Barletta · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gianmarco Ferrari vs Filippo Moroni?
Our model gives 58% to Gianmarco Ferrari, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.