Tennis · Challenger Bari · 27/09, 11:30

Prediction: Kai Wehnelt vs Pierluigi Basile

Team pages: Kai Wehnelt · Pierluigi Basile

Prediction summary
Winner
36% 64%
Kai Wehnelt Pierluigi Basile
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Kai Wehnelt 4-6 (W-L)
WLWWLLLLWL
Pierluigi Basile 8-2 (W-L)
LWWWWWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kai Wehnelt 1524 · Pierluigi Basile 1524
Kai WehneltPierluigi Basile
Our model50%50%
Market25%75%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Kai WehneltPierluigi Basile
Win %60%60%
Win % · Clay 60% (10) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11.5-0.9
Games (G-P)12-10.912-9.8
Aces7.43
Double faults2.93.3
1st serve %75.8%72.6%
Break %37.4%54.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kai Wehnelt

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/09 Kilian Feldbausch
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
14/09 Michael Vrbensky
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
13/09 Marcel Zielinski
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
2-1 18-11 W
06/09 Mika Brunold
Challenger Tulln · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
26/08 Facundo Mena
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
0-2 11-14 L
25/08 Nick Hardt
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
2-1 14-11 W
24/08 Robert Strombachs
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
23/08 Daniel Siniakov
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
2-0 14-12 W
18/08 Calvin Hemery
Challenger Sion · Clay
1-2 13-16 L
18/08 Nino Ehrenschneider
Challenger Sion · Clay
2-0 12-8 W

Pierluigi Basile

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/09 Giovanni Oradini
Challenger Genoa · Clay
1-2 10-16 L
20/09 Guillermo Tunas
Challenger Genoa · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
15/09 Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Challenger Biella · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
14/09 Giovanni Oradini
Challenger Biella · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
13/09 Adrian Oetzbach
Challenger Biella · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
09/09 Roberto Perez Socas
M25 Gijon
1-2 18-17 L
08/09 David Aguiar Johansson
M25 Gijon
2-0 12-4 W
26/08 Filippo Valdetara
M25 Lausanne
2-0 12-4 W
23/08 Laurent Lokoli
M25 Lesa
1-2 9-15 L
23/08 Alexander Weis
M25 Lesa
2-1 18-12 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kai Wehnelt vs Pierluigi Basile?

Our model gives 64% to Pierluigi Basile, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.