Tennis · Challenger Bari · 27/09, 10:00
Prediction: Riccardo Trione vs Adrian Oetzbach
Team pages: Adrian Oetzbach
Prediction summary
Winner
Riccardo Trione
Adrian Oetzbach
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Riccardo Trione
6-4 (W-L)
Adrian Oetzbach
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Riccardo Trione 1576 · Adrian Oetzbach 1534
| Riccardo Trione | Adrian Oetzbach | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Riccardo Trione (rating 1576 vs 1534).
Statistics
| Riccardo Trione | Adrian Oetzbach | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-9.2 | 11.3-10.8 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.9% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 43.4% | 57.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Riccardo Trione
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03 | Aleksa Ciric UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/03 | Junior T Pichardo UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 26/03 | Carter Craig UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/03 | Donald Nikolas Stoot UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 24/03 | Benjamin Torres UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/03 | Daniel Cohen UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/11 | Youssef Kadiri Hassani UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/11 | Alexander Baez UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 05/11 | Lachlan Gaskell UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/11 | Kai-Luca Ampaw UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Adrian Oetzbach
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | George Lazarov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Eero Vasa M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/09 | Bruno Fernandez M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/09 | Lucio Ratti M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/09 | Marc Majdandzic M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/09 | Marcel Hornung M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/08 | Tim Handel M25 Ueberlingen |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Manuel Plunger M25 Ueberlingen |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 14/08 | Liam Gavrielides M15 Trier |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Riccardo Trione vs Adrian Oetzbach?
Our model gives 65% to Adrian Oetzbach, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.