Tennis · WTA Jingshan · 27/09, 05:00
Prediction: Amelia Rajecki vs Chengyiyi Yuan
Team pages: Amelia Rajecki · Chengyiyi Yuan
Prediction summary
Winner
Amelia Rajecki
Chengyiyi Yuan
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Amelia Rajecki
8-2 (W-L)
Chengyiyi Yuan
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Amelia Rajecki 1553 · Chengyiyi Yuan 1514
| Amelia Rajecki | Chengyiyi Yuan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Amelia Rajecki dominates on serve: 7.6 aces and 45.2% break avg.
- Note: Amelia Rajecki makes many double faults (6.3/match).
- Note: Chengyiyi Yuan makes many double faults (8.6/match).
Statistics
| Amelia Rajecki | Chengyiyi Yuan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (5) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-10.9 | 12-11.6 |
| Aces | 7.6 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 6.3 | 8.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.1% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 45.2% | 57.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Amelia Rajecki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Hiroko Kuwata WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Kurea Hayasaka W50 Nanao |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 17/09 | Sayaka Ishii W35 Kyoto |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 16/09 | Nagi Hanatani W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Maria Toma W50 Leiria |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 09/08 | Ella Mcdonald W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/08 | Brooke Black W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 06/08 | Hikaru Sato W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Sayaka Ishii W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/08 | Vendula Valdmannova W50 Dublin |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Chengyiyi Yuan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Nika Radisic WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W35 Shenyang |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Ya-Yi Yang W50 Guiyang |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 31/08 | Jia-Jing Lu W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Eunhye Lee W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Thasaporn Naklo W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 15/08 | Yushan Shao W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/08 | Yu Jun Lin W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/08 | Sunam Jeong W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 12/08 | Ha Yoon Son W15 Tianjin |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Amelia Rajecki vs Chengyiyi Yuan?
Our model gives 60% to Amelia Rajecki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.