Tennis · M15 Telavi · 26/09, 10:00
Prediction: Francesco Ferrari vs Dmitry Popko
Team pages: Francesco Ferrari · Dmitry Popko
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesco Ferrari
Dmitry Popko
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Francesco Ferrari
5-5 (W-L)
Dmitry Popko
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Francesco Ferrari
0–1
Dmitry Popko
(1 last)
- 19 Nov0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesco Ferrari 1498 · Dmitry Popko 1571
| Francesco Ferrari | Dmitry Popko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dmitry Popko (rating 1498 vs 1571).
- Head-to-head: Francesco Ferrari 0–1 Dmitry Popko (1).
Statistics
| Francesco Ferrari | Dmitry Popko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-11.1 | 13-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 47.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Francesco Ferrari 0 – 1 Dmitry Popko (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Francesco Ferrari 0–1 Dmitry Popko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/11/16 ITF Turkey F46 | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesco Ferrari
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Stijn Paardekooper M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/09 | Timofei Derepasko M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 06/09 | Gianmarco Ferrari Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Vlad Cristian Breazu M15 Arad |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Targu Jiu |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 06/08 | Robert Guna M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/08 | Stefan Adrian Andreescu M25 Pitesti |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Gabriel Ghetu M25 Pitesti |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/07 | Maximilian Borisov M25 Pitesti |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Dmitry Popko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Dmitry Bessonov M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/09 | Grigory Shebekin M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 06/09 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 05/09 | Alexandre Aubriot M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Edouard Villoslada M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Gokberk Saritas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/08 | Kristijan Juhas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesco Ferrari vs Dmitry Popko?
Our model gives 74% to Dmitry Popko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.