Tennis · ATP Hangzhou MD · 27/09, 08:35
Prediction: Arends/Pel vs Nouza/Oberleitner
Team pages: Arends/Pel · Nouza/Oberleitner
Prediction summary
Winner
Arends/Pel
Nouza/Oberleitner
Estimated games
26.4
Recent form · 10 last
Arends/Pel
4-6 (W-L)
Nouza/Oberleitner
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arends/Pel 1470 · Nouza/Oberleitner 1559
| Arends/Pel | Nouza/Oberleitner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nouza/Oberleitner (rating 1470 vs 1559).
- Nouza/Oberleitner is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Arends/Pel makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Arends/Pel | Nouza/Oberleitner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.3-14.8 | 15.7-13.5 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 75.8% | 82.6% |
| Break % | 24.1% | 24.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arends/Pel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Reyes-Varela/Stalder ATP Hangzhou MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Balaji/King US Open MD · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 18/08 | Lammons/Withrow Challenger Quebec City MD · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Latinovic/Poljicak Challenger San Marino MD · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Luz/Matos ATP Estoril MD · Clay |
1-2 | 16-20 | L |
| 23/07 | Hidalgo/Tabilo ATP Estoril MD · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 21/07 | Stevenson/Willis ATP Estoril MD · Clay |
2-1 | 22-16 | W |
| 16/07 | Rojer/Winegar ATP Bastad MD · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 15/07 | Luz/Matos ATP Bastad MD · Clay |
2-1 | 20-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Griekspoor/Van De Zandschulp Wimbledon MD · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Nouza/Oberleitner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Liutarevich/Safiullin ATP Hangzhou MD · Hard |
2-1 | 22-15 | W |
| 06/09 | Gonzalez/Molteni US Open MD · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Escobar/Kaliyanda Poonacha US Open MD · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 29/08 | Krajicek/Mektic ATP Winston-Salem MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/08 | Miedler/Polmans ATP Winston-Salem MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Ram/Salisbury ATP Winston-Salem MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Bhambri/Venus ATP Winston-Salem MD · Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 18/08 | Behar/Romboli Challenger Quebec City MD · Hard |
1-2 | 20-20 | L |
| 30/07 | Reymond/Sanchez Challenger San Marino MD · Clay |
1-2 | 16-22 | L |
| 29/07 | Jecan/Pavel Challenger San Marino MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arends/Pel vs Nouza/Oberleitner?
Our model gives 65% to Nouza/Oberleitner, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.