Tennis · ATP Hangzhou MD · 25/09, 09:00
Prediction: Reynolds/Watt vs Gille/Verbeek
Team pages: Reynolds/Watt · Gille/Verbeek
Prediction summary
Winner
Reynolds/Watt
Gille/Verbeek
Estimated games
28.2
Recent form · 10 last
Reynolds/Watt
7-3 (W-L)
Gille/Verbeek
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Reynolds/Watt
2–0
Gille/Verbeek
(2 last)
- 18 Jun2-1 25-20W
- 13 Jan2-1 25-22W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Reynolds/Watt 1529 · Gille/Verbeek 1463
| Reynolds/Watt | Gille/Verbeek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Reynolds/Watt (rating 1529 vs 1463).
- Head-to-head: Reynolds/Watt 2–0 Gille/Verbeek (2).
Statistics
| Reynolds/Watt | Gille/Verbeek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.6-13.1 | 13.6-14.4 |
| Aces | 3 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 78.5% | 76.6% |
| Break % | 24.1% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
28.2
H2H · Reynolds/Watt 2 – 0 Gille/Verbeek (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Reynolds/Watt 2–0 Gille/Verbeek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/26 Challenger Nottingham MD | 2-1 | 25-20 | W |
| 13/01/26 ATP Auckland MD | 2-1 | 25-22 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Reynolds/Watt
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Andreozzi/Guinard US Open MD · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Arseneault/Rozin Challenger Quebec City MD · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 02/08 | Seggerman/Trhac ATP Los Cabos MD · Hard |
1-2 | 21-23 | L |
| 01/08 | Escobar/Kaliyanda Poonacha ATP Los Cabos MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Hijikata/Stalder ATP Los Cabos MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Galloway/King ATP Los Cabos MD · Hard |
2-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 24/07 | Isaro/Kaliyanda Poonacha Challenger Bloomfield Hills MD · Hard |
1-2 | 22-24 | L |
| 23/07 | Puttergill/Sweeny Challenger Bloomfield Hills MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Bayldon/Harper Challenger Bloomfield Hills MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/07 | Dalmasso/Kuhar Challenger Granby MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Gille/Verbeek
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Bolelli/Vavassori US Open MD · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Blockx/Prizmic US Open MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/08 | Boulais/Chan Challenger Quebec City MD · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Loof/Uesugi Challenger San Marino MD · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Molteni/Trhac ATP Kitzbuhel MD · Clay |
1-2 | 26-28 | L |
| 18/07 | Demoliner/Galloway ATP Gstaad MD · Clay |
1-2 | 16-22 | L |
| 17/07 | Dietrich/Stricker ATP Gstaad MD · Clay |
2-1 | 21-15 | W |
| 15/07 | Romboli/Smith ATP Gstaad MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/07 | Doumbia/Reboul Wimbledon MD · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Granollers/Zeballos Wimbledon MD · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Reynolds/Watt vs Gille/Verbeek?
Our model gives 56% to Reynolds/Watt, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.