Tennis · WTA Jingshan · 26/09, 06:30
Prediction: Meiqi Guo vs Natsumi Kawaguchi
Team pages: Meiqi Guo · Natsumi Kawaguchi
Prediction summary
Winner
Meiqi Guo
Natsumi Kawaguchi
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Meiqi Guo
4-6 (W-L)
Natsumi Kawaguchi
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Meiqi Guo 1497 · Natsumi Kawaguchi 1478
| Meiqi Guo | Natsumi Kawaguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Meiqi Guo | Natsumi Kawaguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-10.4 | 10.2-9.8 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 61.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Meiqi Guo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Junhan Zhang W35 Shenyang |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 06/09 | Sijia Wei W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Xiran Lan W15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 06/08 | Gaeul Jang W15 Tianjin |
0-1 | 6-7 | L |
| 05/08 | Sera Nishimoto W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/07 | Anna Snigireva W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/07 | Shiyu Ye W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Xiaowei Li W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Eva Marie Desvignes W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/06 | Evialina Laskevich W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
Natsumi Kawaguchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Sayaka Ishii W50 Nanao |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 22/09 | Kayo Nishimura W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/09 | Rinko Matsuda W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Haruna Arakawa W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/09 | Kayo Nishimura W35 Kyoto |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/09 | Yujia Huang W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Funa Kozaki W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Ya-Yi Yang W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Yu-Chen Lin W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Meiqi Guo vs Natsumi Kawaguchi?
Our model gives 63% to Natsumi Kawaguchi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.