Tennis · WTA Jingshan · 26/09, 04:00
Prediction: Kristiana Sidorova vs Aruzhan Sagandikova
Team pages: Kristiana Sidorova · Aruzhan Sagandikova
Prediction summary
Winner
Kristiana Sidorova
Aruzhan Sagandikova
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Kristiana Sidorova
7-3 (W-L)
Aruzhan Sagandikova
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kristiana Sidorova
1–0
Aruzhan Sagandikova
(1 last)
- 19 Aug2-1 17-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kristiana Sidorova 1619 · Aruzhan Sagandikova 1499
| Kristiana Sidorova | Aruzhan Sagandikova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kristiana Sidorova (rating 1619 vs 1499).
- Kristiana Sidorova is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Kristiana Sidorova 1–0 Aruzhan Sagandikova (1).
- Note: Kristiana Sidorova makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Kristiana Sidorova | Aruzhan Sagandikova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-10.6 | 9.3-10.9 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 75.6% | 60.1% |
| Break % | 52% | 41.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
H2H · Kristiana Sidorova 1 – 0 Aruzhan Sagandikova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kristiana Sidorova 1–0 Aruzhan Sagandikova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/23 ITF W15 Ust-Kamenogorsk | 2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kristiana Sidorova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Sijia Wei W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/09 | Yujia Huang W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/09 | Yufei Ren W35 Shenyang |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 17/09 | Alexandra Shubladze W35 Shenyang |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 15/09 | Ya-Yi Yang W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/09 | Yexin Ma W50 Guiyang |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 07/09 | Miho Kuramochi W50 Guiyang |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 06/09 | Shaoya Zhao W50 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Sofia Costoulas W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Kyoka Okamura W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Aruzhan Sagandikova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Yingqun Sun W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 23/09 | Ha Yoon Son W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Wushuang Zheng W35 Shenyang |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Asylzhan Arystanbekova W35 Shenyang |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Jing-Jing Lu W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/09 | Chengwei Han W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Astana |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Gaeul Jang W15 Astana |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Ekaterina Maklakova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Astana |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kristiana Sidorova vs Aruzhan Sagandikova?
Our model gives 77% to Kristiana Sidorova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.