Tennis · WTA Jingshan · 26/09, 06:30
Prediction: Jiaqi Wang vs Ying Zhang
Team pages: Jiaqi Wang · Ying Zhang
Prediction summary
Winner
Jiaqi Wang
Ying Zhang
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Jiaqi Wang
5-5 (W-L)
Ying Zhang
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jiaqi Wang
1–1
Ying Zhang
(2 last)
- 18 Oct2-1 15-10W
- 20 Sept1-2 15-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jiaqi Wang 1522 · Ying Zhang 1472
| Jiaqi Wang | Ying Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jiaqi Wang (rating 1522 vs 1472).
Statistics
| Jiaqi Wang | Ying Zhang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.3 | 10.8-11.6 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 58.9% |
| Break % | 48.8% | 44% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Jiaqi Wang 1 – 1 Ying Zhang (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jiaqi Wang 1–1 Ying Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/25 ITF W35 Huzhou | 2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 20/09/25 WTA Jingshan | 1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jiaqi Wang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Anastasia Kulikova WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Yufei Ren W35 Shenyang |
0-1 | 0-6 | L |
| 09/09 | Yujia Huang W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Wushuang Zheng W50 Guiyang |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/09 | Xi Luo W50 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/09 | Patcharin Cheapchandej W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Yexin Ma W75 Tianjin |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 01/09 | Yidi Yang W75 Tianjin |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 31/08 | Hikaru Sato W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/08 | Yuno Kitahara W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Ying Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Sijia Wei W35 Shenyang |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 14/09 | Xi Luo W35 Shenyang |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 13/09 | Guyu Xu W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/09 | Vaishnavi Adkar W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W50 Guiyang |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 30/08 | Priska Madelyn Nugroho W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Zhibek Kulambayeva W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Daria Khomutsianskaya WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 12/07 | Arina Arifullina WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Gaeul Jang W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jiaqi Wang vs Ying Zhang?
Our model gives 61% to Jiaqi Wang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.