Tennis · Challenger San Diego · 25/09, 23:00
Prediction: Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout
Team pages: Tristan Boyer · Timo Legout
Prediction summary
Winner
Tristan Boyer
Timo Legout
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Tristan Boyer
5-5 (W-L)
Timo Legout
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tristan Boyer 1504 · Timo Legout 1587
| Tristan Boyer | Timo Legout | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Timo Legout (rating 1504 vs 1587).
- Timo Legout is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Tristan Boyer | Timo Legout | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.8 | 12.2-7.6 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 34.6% | 60% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tristan Boyer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/09 | Spencer Johnson Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/09 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Edward Winter Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Andre Ilagan US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 17/08 | James Watt Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Matthew Forbes Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Timo Legout
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Colton Smith Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 21/09 | Daniil Ostapenkov Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/09 | Darian King Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/09 | Bryce Nakashima Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Henry Searle Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Daniil Ostapenkov Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/09 | Evan Bynoe Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/08 | Garrett Johns Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 16/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tristan Boyer vs Timo Legout?
Our model gives 54% to Timo Legout, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.