Tennis · Challenger San Diego · 24/09, 22:30
Prediction: Darwin Blanch vs Andy Andrade
Team pages: Darwin Blanch · Andy Andrade
Prediction summary
Winner
Darwin Blanch
Andy Andrade
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Darwin Blanch
4-6 (W-L)
Andy Andrade
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Darwin Blanch 1551 · Andy Andrade 1546
| Darwin Blanch | Andy Andrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Andy Andrade makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Darwin Blanch | Andy Andrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11.7 | 12.9-11.6 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 74.3% | 72.1% |
| Break % | 27.3% | 43.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Darwin Blanch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 21/09 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 19/09 | Michael Zheng Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/09 | Bryce Nakashima Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/09 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 01/09 | Taylor Fritz US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 24/08 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Andy Andrade
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 19/09 | Toby Samuel Davis Cup |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 30/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 27/08 | Max Purcell Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Edward Winter Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 18/08 | Liam Draxl Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/08 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Darwin Blanch vs Andy Andrade?
Our model gives 56% to Darwin Blanch, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.