Tennis · M15 Telavi · 25/09, 09:00
Prediction: Stijn Paardekooper vs Francesco Ferrari
Team pages: Stijn Paardekooper · Francesco Ferrari
Prediction summary
Winner
Stijn Paardekooper
Francesco Ferrari
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Stijn Paardekooper
8-2 (W-L)
Francesco Ferrari
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stijn Paardekooper 1618 · Francesco Ferrari 1489
| Stijn Paardekooper | Francesco Ferrari | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stijn Paardekooper (rating 1618 vs 1489).
- Stijn Paardekooper is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Stijn Paardekooper | Francesco Ferrari | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-7.1 | 10.6-10.6 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 79% | 63.2% |
| Break % | 40% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stijn Paardekooper
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Denis Klok M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Pietro Ricci M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/09 | Facundo Yunis UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/09 | Marshall Tutu UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Jiri Jindacek UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Rafael Kis Balazs UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 15/09 | Achilles Belkovics UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Matej Sabanov UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 05/09 | Sander Jong M15 Haren |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Jayson Blando M15 Haren |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Francesco Ferrari
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Timofei Derepasko M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 06/09 | Gianmarco Ferrari Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Vlad Cristian Breazu M15 Arad |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Targu Jiu |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 06/08 | Robert Guna M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/08 | Stefan Adrian Andreescu M25 Pitesti |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Gabriel Ghetu M25 Pitesti |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/07 | Maximilian Borisov M25 Pitesti |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Sebastian Gima M25 Pitesti |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stijn Paardekooper vs Francesco Ferrari?
Our model gives 70% to Stijn Paardekooper, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.