Tennis · Billie Jean King Cup · 24/09, 14:00
Prediction: Jasmine Paolini vs Qinwen Zheng
Team pages: Jasmine Paolini · Qinwen Zheng
Prediction summary
Winner
Jasmine Paolini
Qinwen Zheng
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Jasmine Paolini
6-4 (W-L)
Qinwen Zheng
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jasmine Paolini
0–4
Qinwen Zheng
(4 last)
- 06 Nov0-2 2-12L
- 11 Oct1-2 11-15L
- 14 Oct0-2 5-12L
- 23 Jul1-2 11-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jasmine Paolini 1528 · Qinwen Zheng 1560
| Jasmine Paolini | Qinwen Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Qinwen Zheng dominates on serve: 7 aces and 40.6% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Jasmine Paolini 0–4 Qinwen Zheng (4).
- Note: Qinwen Zheng makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Jasmine Paolini | Qinwen Zheng | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-11 | 12.7-11 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 7 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 78.5% |
| Break % | 42.6% | 40.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Jasmine Paolini 0 – 4 Qinwen Zheng (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jasmine Paolini 0–4 Qinwen Zheng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/24 WTA Finals | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/10/24 WTA Wuhan | 1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 14/10/23 WTA Zhengzhou | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/07/23 WTA Palermo | 1-2 | 11-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jasmine Paolini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Sorana Cirstea US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Lucrezia Stefanini US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/08 | Veronika Erjavec US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 08/07 | Marta Kostyuk Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Alexandra Eala Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 04/07 | Maria Sakkari Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/07 | Viktorija Golubic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Robin Montgomery Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 23/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Solana Sierra French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Qinwen Zheng
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Elena Rybakina US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 07/09 | Iga Swiatek US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/09 | Madison Keys US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 03/09 | Yulia Putintseva US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 31/08 | Kristina Liutova US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 28/08 | Elena Pridankina US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Clara Burel US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Xiaodi You US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/08 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Alexandra Eala WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jasmine Paolini vs Qinwen Zheng?
Our model gives 61% to Qinwen Zheng, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.