Tennis · W50 Yecla · 24/09, 12:30

Prediction: Kira Pavlova vs Elza Tomase

Team pages: Kira Pavlova · Elza Tomase

Prediction summary
Winner
56% 44%
Kira Pavlova Elza Tomase
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Kira Pavlova 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLWWLWLW
Elza Tomase 6-4 (W-L)
WWLLLWLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kira Pavlova 1586 · Elza Tomase 1566
Kira PavlovaElza Tomase
Our model53%47%
Market58%42%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Kira Pavlova makes many double faults (5.2/match).

Statistics

Kira PavlovaElza Tomase
Win %80%70%
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.61.4-0.7
Games (G-P)12.5-8.610-7.6
Aces0.82.1
Double faults5.23.7
1st serve %65.3%66.4%
Break %56.4%51.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kira Pavlova

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/09 Lucia Cortez Llorca
W50 Yecla
2-0 12-8 W
13/08 Yasmine Kabbaj
W35 Vigo
2-1 17-14 W
11/08 Charo Esquiva Banuls
W35 Vigo
2-0 12-3 W
07/08 Britt Du Pree
W75 Ourense
0-2 5-12 L
06/08 Francisca Jorge
W75 Ourense
2-0 13-8 W
04/08 Eva Alvarez Sande
W75 Ourense
2-0 12-2 W
18/07 Martyna Kubka
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
1-2 14-16 L
17/07 Katarina Kuzmova
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 12-8 W
16/07 Zoziya Kardava
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-1 16-10 W
15/07 Carmen Gallardo Guevara
W75 Vitoria Gasteiz
2-0 12-5 W

Elza Tomase

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/09 Laura Hietaranta
W50 Yecla
2-0 12-3 W
21/09 Chelsea Fontenel
W50 Yecla
2-0 12-3 W
20/09 Freya Peet
W50 Yecla
2-0 12-5 W
12/09 Anne Schaefer
W15 Viserba Di Rimini
0-2 3-12 L
10/09 Agnese Gentili
W15 Viserba Di Rimini
2-0 13-5 W
01/09 Carla Giambelli
W15 Fiano Romano
0-2 6-12 L
19/08 Eva Bennemann
W35 Erwitte
0-2 4-12 L
02/08 Emma Ottavia Ghirardato
W15 Savitaipale
2-1 14-12 W
01/08 Maileen Nuudi
W15 Savitaipale
2-0 12-5 W
31/07 Beatrice Stagno
W15 Savitaipale
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kira Pavlova vs Elza Tomase?

Our model gives 56% to Kira Pavlova.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.