Tennis · W50 Yecla · 25/09, 12:30
Prediction: Kateryna Lazarenko vs Nahia Berecoechea
Team pages: Kateryna Lazarenko · Nahia Berecoechea
Prediction summary
Winner
Kateryna Lazarenko
Nahia Berecoechea
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Kateryna Lazarenko
7-3 (W-L)
Nahia Berecoechea
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kateryna Lazarenko 1613 · Nahia Berecoechea 1510
| Kateryna Lazarenko | Nahia Berecoechea | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kateryna Lazarenko (rating 1613 vs 1510).
- Kateryna Lazarenko is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Nahia Berecoechea makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Kateryna Lazarenko | Nahia Berecoechea | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-9.3 | 12.1-11.9 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 60.4% |
| Break % | 47.9% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kateryna Lazarenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Emily Appleton W50 Yecla |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Isabel Adrover Gallego W50 Yecla |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 21/09 | Alexandra Vagramov W50 Yecla |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/09 | Nuria Sarganella Verdu W50 Yecla |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/09 | Zuzanna Kolonus W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 05/09 | Julia Adams W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/09 | Mia Chudejova W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Maja Wrobel W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Kate Sharabura W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Katarina Kuzmova W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
0-2 | 3-7 | L |
Nahia Berecoechea
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Miriana Tona W50 Yecla |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Martha Matoula W50 Yecla |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 09/09 | Francesca Pace W35 Reus · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/09 | Justina Mikulskyte W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 31/08 | Sophia Biolay W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 10/08 | Denislava Glushkova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Mariia Masiianskaia W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Gabriela Paun W100 Gran Canaria |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 15/07 | Maria Martinez Vaquero W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Anastasia Bertacchi W35 Don Benito |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kateryna Lazarenko vs Nahia Berecoechea?
Our model gives 56% to Nahia Berecoechea, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.