Tennis · M15 Monastir · 24/09, 10:30
Prediction: Ewen Lumsden vs Mae Malige
Team pages: Ewen Lumsden · Mae Malige
Prediction summary
Winner
Ewen Lumsden
Mae Malige
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Ewen Lumsden
9-1 (W-L)
Mae Malige
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ewen Lumsden 1614 · Mae Malige 1467
| Ewen Lumsden | Mae Malige | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ewen Lumsden (rating 1614 vs 1467).
- Ewen Lumsden is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Ewen Lumsden | Mae Malige | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.2 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-6.7 | 8.9-11.1 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 65% | 58.9% |
| Break % | 56% | 53.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ewen Lumsden
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Alexander Watanabe Eriksson M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/09 | Kasra Rahmani M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 18/09 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/09 | William Nolan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Jacopo Denitto M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/05 | Kyle Mckay UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/05 | Cian McDonnell UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/05 | Liam Hignett UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/05 | Thomas Pudney UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/05 | Finlay Watters UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Mae Malige
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Jacopo Bilardo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Alexandre Reco M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 27/08 | Roan Jones M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Romain Andres M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/07 | Maxence Rivet M15 Rognac |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 12/07 | Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Oliver Crawford M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Matias Reyniak M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/06 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Porto |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ewen Lumsden vs Mae Malige?
Our model gives 55% to Ewen Lumsden, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.