Tennis · M15 Monastir · 01/10, 10:00
Prediction: Tuncay Duran vs Pablo Aunion
Team pages: Tuncay Duran · Pablo Aunion
Prediction summary
Winner
Tuncay Duran
Pablo Aunion
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Tuncay Duran
7-3 (W-L)
Pablo Aunion
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tuncay Duran 1538 · Pablo Aunion 1499
| Tuncay Duran | Pablo Aunion | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Tuncay Duran dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 56.9% break avg.
Statistics
| Tuncay Duran | Pablo Aunion | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.2 | 9.4-9.9 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 81% | 60.8% |
| Break % | 56.9% | 36.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tuncay Duran
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Lucca Liu M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/09 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Togan Tokac Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/08 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 27/07 | Digvijay Pratap Singh Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Naoki Tajima Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Paul Barbier Gazeu M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/07 | Logan Zapp M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Pablo Aunion
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09 | Nicolas Robert M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/09 | Anas Mazdrashki M25 Gijon |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Theodore Dean M25 Gijon |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 02/09 | Juan Ignacio Gallego M15 Madrid |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 25/08 | Yaroslav Demin M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Noah Regas M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/08 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Santander |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Keanu Elias Immler M25 Santander |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Mustapha El Natour M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tuncay Duran vs Pablo Aunion?
Our model gives 71% to Tuncay Duran, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.