Tennis · W50 Yecla · 24/09, 09:00

Prediction: Margaux Rouvroy vs Carmen Gallardo Guevara

Team pages: Margaux Rouvroy · Carmen Gallardo Guevara

Prediction summary
Winner
49% 51%
Margaux Rouvroy Carmen Gallardo Guevara
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Margaux Rouvroy 4-6 (W-L)
WWLLLWLLLW
Carmen Gallardo Guevara 6-4 (W-L)
WWLLLWLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Margaux Rouvroy 1504 · Carmen Gallardo Guevara 1581
Margaux RouvroyCarmen Gallardo Guevara
Our model39%61%
Market58%42%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carmen Gallardo Guevara (rating 1504 vs 1581).
  • Carmen Gallardo Guevara is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Margaux RouvroyCarmen Gallardo Guevara
Win %50%80%
Win % · Clay 75% (4)
Sets (G-P)1-1.31.5-0.6
Games (G-P)10.2-11.111.3-8.7
Aces1.70.9
Double faults3.32.4
1st serve %57.9%59.4%
Break %46.7%52.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Margaux Rouvroy

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/09 Amandine Hesse
W50 Yecla
2-0 12-5 W
13/09 Sofia Johnson
WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
08/09 Matilde Jorge
W50 Evora
0-2 7-12 L
03/09 Hannah Klugman
W50 Leiria
0-2 4-12 L
02/09 Yeon Woo Ku
W50 Leiria
2-1 16-13 W
05/08 Sofya Lansere
W75 Koksijde
0-2 10-13 L
29/07 Alice Rame
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
28/07 Lola Radivojevic
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
2-1 13-15 W
27/07 Ekaterina Kazionova
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
2-1 16-15 W
26/07 Diana Ilie
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
2-0 12-2 W

Carmen Gallardo Guevara

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/09 Tian Jialin
W50 Yecla
2-0 14-12 W
21/09 Lucia Llinares Domingo
W50 Yecla
2-0 12-2 W
20/09 Isabel Pascual Montalvo
W50 Yecla
2-0 12-6 W
06/08 Greet Minnen
W75 Ourense
0-2 2-12 L
05/08 Lucia Cortez Llorca
W75 Ourense
2-0 12-6 W
30/07 Francesca Curmi
W100 Gran Canaria
0-2 5-12 L
28/07 Matilde Jorge
W100 Gran Canaria
1-1 15-14 W
26/07 Kristina Novak
W15 Gran Canaria
2-1 17-12 W
25/07 Shannon Lam
W15 Gran Canaria
2-0 12-6 W
23/07 Lucia Natal
W15 Gran Canaria
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Margaux Rouvroy vs Carmen Gallardo Guevara?

Our model gives 51% to Carmen Gallardo Guevara, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.