Prediction: Emily Appleton vs Kateryna Lazarenko
Team pages: Emily Appleton · Kateryna Lazarenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Emily Appleton
Kateryna Lazarenko
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Emily Appleton
7-3 (W-L)
Kateryna Lazarenko
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emily Appleton 1547 · Kateryna Lazarenko 1612
| Emily Appleton | Kateryna Lazarenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kateryna Lazarenko (rating 1547 vs 1612).
Statistics
| Emily Appleton | Kateryna Lazarenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-8.1 | 12.3-9.4 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 47.3% | 50.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emily Appleton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Cadence Brace W50 Yecla |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 18/09 | Katarina Kuzmova W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Yuliya Hatouka W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Polina Kuharenko W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/09 | Zuzanna Kolonus W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Margaux Komano W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/09 | Megan Heuser W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Oriana Gniewkowska W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/08 | Julia Avdeeva W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Naiktha Bains W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
Kateryna Lazarenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Isabel Adrover Gallego W50 Yecla |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 21/09 | Alexandra Vagramov W50 Yecla |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/09 | Nuria Sarganella Verdu W50 Yecla |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/09 | Zuzanna Kolonus W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 05/09 | Julia Adams W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/09 | Mia Chudejova W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Maja Wrobel W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Kate Sharabura W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Katarina Kuzmova W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
0-2 | 3-7 | L |
| 15/07 | Anastasiya Kuparev W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emily Appleton vs Kateryna Lazarenko?
Our model gives 61% to Emily Appleton, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.