Tennis · W50 Plovdiv · 24/09, 09:00
Prediction: Elizara Yaneva vs Laura Mair
Team pages: Elizara Yaneva · Laura Mair
Prediction summary
Winner
Elizara Yaneva
Laura Mair
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Elizara Yaneva
5-5 (W-L)
Laura Mair
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Elizara Yaneva
1–0
Laura Mair
(1 last)
- 30 Jan2-0 12-0W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elizara Yaneva 1603 · Laura Mair 1481
| Elizara Yaneva | Laura Mair | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elizara Yaneva (rating 1603 vs 1481).
- Elizara Yaneva is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Elizara Yaneva 1–0 Laura Mair (1).
- Note: Elizara Yaneva makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Elizara Yaneva | Laura Mair | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.3-11.2 | 9.6-9.7 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 67.9% | 56.5% |
| Break % | 54.7% | 51% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Elizara Yaneva 1 – 0 Laura Mair (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Elizara Yaneva 1–0 Laura Mair
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/26 W75 Porto | 2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elizara Yaneva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Margaux Maquet W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/09 | Loes Ebeling Koning W50 Pazardzhik |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 18/09 | Ipek Oz W50 Pazardzhik |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 17/09 | Julia Adams W50 Pazardzhik |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 16/09 | Gaia Maduzzi W50 Pazardzhik |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 15/09 | Sarah Van Emst W50 Pazardzhik |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/09 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela WTA Antalya · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Zhibek Kulambayeva WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 07/09 | Weronika Falkowska WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 25/08 | Lucie Havlickova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Laura Mair
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Eleonora Toneva W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/09 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 04/09 | Ana Giraldi Requena W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/09 | Aliesia Reva W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Marie Mettraux W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Sofia Shapatava W35 Trieste |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/08 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar W50 Prague |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Sonja Zhenikhova W50 Hamburg |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Tina Manescu W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Emma Lene W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elizara Yaneva vs Laura Mair?
Our model gives 80% to Elizara Yaneva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.