Tennis · W50 Plovdiv · 25/09, 11:30
Prediction: Loes Ebeling Koning vs Alessandra Mazzola
Team pages: Loes Ebeling Koning · Alessandra Mazzola
Prediction summary
Winner
Loes Ebeling Koning
Alessandra Mazzola
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Loes Ebeling Koning
8-2 (W-L)
Alessandra Mazzola
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Loes Ebeling Koning 1593 · Alessandra Mazzola 1471
| Loes Ebeling Koning | Alessandra Mazzola | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Loes Ebeling Koning (rating 1593 vs 1471).
- Loes Ebeling Koning is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Loes Ebeling Koning | Alessandra Mazzola | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-8 | 10.3-11.7 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 51.4% |
| Break % | 58.7% | 59.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Loes Ebeling Koning
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Jule Niemeier W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/09 | Miriam Bulgaru W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/09 | Elizara Yaneva W50 Pazardzhik |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 18/09 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann W50 Pazardzhik |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/09 | Lidia Encheva W50 Pazardzhik |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/09 | Antonia Stoyanov W50 Pazardzhik |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 15/09 | Sapfo Sakellaridi W50 Pazardzhik |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Alice Tubello W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Alena Kovackova W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 10-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Demi Tran W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Alessandra Mazzola
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Dunja Maric W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Rositsa Dencheva W50 Plovdiv |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 14/09 | Beatrise Zeltina W50 Pazardzhik |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Federica Trevisan W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Teodora Miron W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Iva Ivanova W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 26/07 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 20/07 | Dalila Spiteri WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Francesca Gandolfi WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Loes Ebeling Koning vs Alessandra Mazzola?
Our model gives 69% to Loes Ebeling Koning, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.