Tennis · W50 Plovdiv · 24/09, 09:00
Prediction: Dunja Maric vs Alessandra Mazzola
Team pages: Dunja Maric · Alessandra Mazzola
Prediction summary
Winner
Dunja Maric
Alessandra Mazzola
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Dunja Maric
6-4 (W-L)
Alessandra Mazzola
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dunja Maric 1540 · Alessandra Mazzola 1458
| Dunja Maric | Alessandra Mazzola | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dunja Maric (rating 1540 vs 1458).
- Dunja Maric is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Dunja Maric | Alessandra Mazzola | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-10.3 | 10.3-12.6 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 49.7% |
| Break % | 48.9% | 56.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dunja Maric
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Diana-Ioana Simionescu W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/09 | Anastasija Cvetkovic W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Galena Krastenova W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Amelia Paszun W50 Pazardzhik |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Nikol Ivanova W50 Pazardzhik |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Selena Janicijevic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 26/08 | Denislava Glushkova W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/08 | Andzhelina Kostova W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/08 | Beatrice Ricci W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Anja Stankovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-16 | W |
Alessandra Mazzola
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Rositsa Dencheva W50 Plovdiv |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 14/09 | Beatrise Zeltina W50 Pazardzhik |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Federica Trevisan W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Teodora Miron W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Iva Ivanova W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 26/07 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 20/07 | Dalila Spiteri WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Francesca Gandolfi WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Jule Niemeier W100 Aschaffenburg |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dunja Maric vs Alessandra Mazzola?
Our model gives 55% to Dunja Maric, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.