Tennis · Challenger San Diego · 23/09, 20:00
Prediction: Henry Searle vs Liam Draxl
Team pages: Henry Searle · Liam Draxl
Prediction summary
Winner
Henry Searle
Liam Draxl
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Henry Searle
6-4 (W-L)
Liam Draxl
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Henry Searle 1497 · Liam Draxl 1523
| Henry Searle | Liam Draxl | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Liam Draxl dominates on serve: 7.2 aces and 47.2% break avg.
Statistics
| Henry Searle | Liam Draxl | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.8 | 12.2-10.6 |
| Aces | 5.5 | 7.2 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 72.9% | 70.7% |
| Break % | 35.9% | 47.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Henry Searle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Evan Zhu Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 15/09 | Timo Legout Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Michael Antonius US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 12/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Max Basing Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Johannus Monday Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Amit Vales Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Liam Draxl
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Jack Kennedy Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/09 | Arthur Rinderknech Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/08 | Tristan Schoolkate US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Andrew Johnson US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Nicolas Mejia US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 18/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 26/07 | Toby Samuel Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Shintaro Mochizuki Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Henry Searle vs Liam Draxl?
Our model gives 56% to Liam Draxl, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.