Tennis · M15 Monastir · 23/09, 10:30
Prediction: Charles Chen vs Andrea Colombo
Team pages: Charles Chen · Andrea Colombo
Prediction summary
Winner
Charles Chen
Andrea Colombo
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Charles Chen
4-6 (W-L)
Andrea Colombo
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Charles Chen 1422 · Andrea Colombo 1519
| Charles Chen | Andrea Colombo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrea Colombo (rating 1422 vs 1519).
- Andrea Colombo dominates on serve: 7.3 aces and 47.6% break avg.
- Andrea Colombo is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Charles Chen makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Charles Chen | Andrea Colombo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-12.3 | 12.6-11.5 |
| Aces | 5 | 7.3 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 68.9% | 71.5% |
| Break % | 45.8% | 47.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Charles Chen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Damien Salvestre M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Sergi Fita Juan M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Felipe Jose Rivadeneira Gallegos M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 04/06 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Eyad Reda Ezzat Mohamed Sherif M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Bekkhan Atlangeriev M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Zachary Sands M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/05 | Finn Reilly M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/05 | Peter Alam M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/04 | Pablo Aunion M15 Sanxenxo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
Andrea Colombo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Pozzuoli |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Filippo Pecorini M25 Pozzuoli |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 31/08 | Olle Wallin Challenger Como · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 30/08 | Gianmarco Ferrari Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/08 | Goncalo Marques M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 21/08 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/08 | Matias Reyniak M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/08 | Robin Bertrand M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/08 | Goncalo Marques M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 12/08 | Francisco Faria M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Charles Chen vs Andrea Colombo?
Our model gives 72% to Andrea Colombo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.