Tennis · WTA Ankara · 23/09, 16:30
Prediction: Han Shi vs Ayla Aksu
Team pages: Han Shi · Ayla Aksu
Prediction summary
Winner
Han Shi
Ayla Aksu
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Han Shi
7-3 (W-L)
Ayla Aksu
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Han Shi 1587 · Ayla Aksu 1473
| Han Shi | Ayla Aksu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Han Shi (rating 1587 vs 1473).
- Han Shi is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Ayla Aksu makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Han Shi | Ayla Aksu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-9.1 | 10.1-12.1 |
| Aces | 3 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 60.6% |
| Break % | 47.7% | 61.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Han Shi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Alya Naz Altinel WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/09 | Yujia Huang W35 Shenyang |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 16/09 | Chenting Zhu W35 Shenyang |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/09 | Tahlia Kokkinis W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Yujia Huang W50 Guiyang |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 09/09 | Fangran Tian W50 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/09 | Darya Astakhova W75 Tianjin |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 03/09 | Haruka Kaji W75 Tianjin |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 02/09 | Rina Saigo W75 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Jiangxue Han W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Ayla Aksu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Yuki Naito WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Elena Malygina WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 24/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Alana Smith W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Allegra Korpanec Davies W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 22/07 | Daria Snigur WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 19/07 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Viktoria Morvayova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Vendula Valdmannova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Han Shi vs Ayla Aksu?
Our model gives 64% to Han Shi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.