Tennis · WTA Ankara · 25/09, 11:00
Prediction: Ksenia Zaytseva vs Polina Iatcenko
Team pages: Ksenia Zaytseva · Polina Iatcenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Ksenia Zaytseva
Polina Iatcenko
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ksenia Zaytseva
7-3 (W-L)
Polina Iatcenko
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ksenia Zaytseva 1567 · Polina Iatcenko 1561
| Ksenia Zaytseva | Polina Iatcenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ksenia Zaytseva makes many double faults (4.4/match).
- Note: Polina Iatcenko makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Ksenia Zaytseva | Polina Iatcenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-7.9 | 11.7-10.4 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.1% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 54.5% | 50% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ksenia Zaytseva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Elena Pridankina WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 21/09 | Lina Gjorcheska WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 21/09 | Ilay Yoruk WTA Ankara · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 20/09 | Naoko Eto WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 06/09 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/09 | Nina Radovanovic W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Miriana Tona W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/09 | Lucia Cortez Llorca W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/09 | Andrea Obradovic W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Lea Boskovic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Polina Iatcenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Weronika Falkowska WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/09 | Viktoria Hruncakova WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Aryna Sabalenka US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Renata Zarazua US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 27/08 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Lucia Bronzetti US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 24/08 | Julie Struplova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/08 | Claire Liu WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Caroline Dolehide W100 Landisville |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Iryna Shymanovich W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ksenia Zaytseva vs Polina Iatcenko?
Our model gives 58% to Polina Iatcenko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.