Tennis · WTA Ankara · 23/09, 12:00
Prediction: Weronika Falkowska vs Polina Iatcenko
Team pages: Weronika Falkowska · Polina Iatcenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Weronika Falkowska
Polina Iatcenko
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Weronika Falkowska
6-4 (W-L)
Polina Iatcenko
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Weronika Falkowska 1543 · Polina Iatcenko 1534
| Weronika Falkowska | Polina Iatcenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Weronika Falkowska makes many double faults (4.7/match).
- Note: Polina Iatcenko makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Weronika Falkowska | Polina Iatcenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.2 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-11.8 | 11.1-10.9 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 67.1% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 43.1% | 49.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Weronika Falkowska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Ilay Yoruk WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/09 | Alana Smith WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Laura Samsonova WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 15/09 | Kristina Novak WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 07/09 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Antalya · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Anastasia Zolotareva W75 Bytom |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 19/08 | Lisa Zaar W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
| 06/08 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Warsaw · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/08 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 03/08 | Amelia Paszun WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Polina Iatcenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Viktoria Hruncakova WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 03/09 | Aryna Sabalenka US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Renata Zarazua US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 27/08 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Lucia Bronzetti US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 24/08 | Julie Struplova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/08 | Claire Liu WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Caroline Dolehide W100 Landisville |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Iryna Shymanovich W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Julieta Pareja WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Weronika Falkowska vs Polina Iatcenko?
Our model gives 60% to Polina Iatcenko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.