Tennis · Challenger San Diego · 22/09, 21:30
Prediction: Erik Arutiunian vs Trevor Svajda
Team pages: Erik Arutiunian · Trevor Svajda
Prediction summary
Winner
Erik Arutiunian
Trevor Svajda
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Erik Arutiunian
7-3 (W-L)
Trevor Svajda
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Erik Arutiunian 1566 · Trevor Svajda 1505
| Erik Arutiunian | Trevor Svajda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Erik Arutiunian (rating 1566 vs 1505).
- Erik Arutiunian dominates on serve: 7 aces and 68.2% break avg.
Statistics
| Erik Arutiunian | Trevor Svajda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9.4 | 11.9-11.4 |
| Aces | 7 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 74.6% | 73.2% |
| Break % | 68.2% | 39.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Erik Arutiunian
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Andrew Fenty Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Luca Staeheli Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Braden Shick Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/09 | Nicholas Godsick Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Sanhui Shin Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 10/08 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/08 | Egor Pleshivtsev Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Trevor Svajda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09 | Michael Zheng Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 25/08 | Jack Pinnington Jones US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Michael Zheng ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 11/08 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Andres Martin Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Eli Stephenson Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Jakub Mensik ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 26/07 | Mackenzie McDonald ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/07 | Elias Ymer ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Erik Arutiunian vs Trevor Svajda?
Our model gives 62% to Trevor Svajda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.