Tennis · Challenger San Diego · 22/09, 20:00
Prediction: Ozan Baris vs Igor Marcondes
Team pages: Ozan Baris · Igor Marcondes
Prediction summary
Winner
Ozan Baris
Igor Marcondes
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Ozan Baris
5-5 (W-L)
Igor Marcondes
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ozan Baris 1545 · Igor Marcondes 1515
| Ozan Baris | Igor Marcondes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Ozan Baris | Igor Marcondes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-10.4 | 11.5-11.2 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 65.1% |
| Break % | 32.7% | 32.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ozan Baris
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Alex Rybakov Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 20/09 | Shunsuke Mitsui Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/09 | Evan Zhu Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 13/09 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 14/08 | Nikita Filin M25 East Lansing |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Luca Pow M25 East Lansing |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Mitchell Sheldon M25 East Lansing |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/08 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Liam Broady Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/08 | Vignesh Gogineni M25 Edwardsville |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Igor Marcondes
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Nishesh Basavareddy Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Max Purcell Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 21/07 | Linus Lagerbohm Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 20/07 | Leonardo Rossi Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/07 | Alan Wazny Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 13/07 | Lautaro Midon ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 12/07 | Gonzalo Bueno ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ozan Baris vs Igor Marcondes?
Our model gives 58% to Ozan Baris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.