Tennis · Challenger San Diego · 22/09, 20:00
Prediction: Evan Zhu vs Henry Searle
Team pages: Evan Zhu · Henry Searle
Prediction summary
Winner
Evan Zhu
Henry Searle
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Evan Zhu
7-3 (W-L)
Henry Searle
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Evan Zhu 1565 · Henry Searle 1490
| Evan Zhu | Henry Searle | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Evan Zhu (rating 1565 vs 1490).
Statistics
| Evan Zhu | Henry Searle | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 0% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-9.5 | 11-10.9 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 5.9 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 73.8% |
| Break % | 51.3% | 36.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Evan Zhu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/09 | Aleksi Lofman Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Michael Zheng Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 14/09 | Ozan Baris Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 13/09 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 24/08 | Joshua Sheehy Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 23/08 | Arjun Kadhe Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Henry Searle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Timo Legout Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Michael Antonius US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 12/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Max Basing Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Johannus Monday Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Amit Vales Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Vilius Gaubas Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Evan Zhu vs Henry Searle?
Our model gives 59% to Henry Searle, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.