Tennis · W50 Plovdiv · 23/09, 08:30
Prediction: Alessandra Mazzola vs Rositsa Dencheva
Team pages: Alessandra Mazzola · Rositsa Dencheva
Prediction summary
Winner
Alessandra Mazzola
Rositsa Dencheva
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Alessandra Mazzola
4-6 (W-L)
Rositsa Dencheva
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alessandra Mazzola 1450 · Rositsa Dencheva 1614
| Alessandra Mazzola | Rositsa Dencheva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 72% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rositsa Dencheva (rating 1450 vs 1614).
- Rositsa Dencheva is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alessandra Mazzola | Rositsa Dencheva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 1.8-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-12.5 | 13.5-9.2 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 3 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 49.7% | 58.6% |
| Break % | 49.1% | 55.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alessandra Mazzola
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Beatrise Zeltina W50 Pazardzhik |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Federica Trevisan W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Teodora Miron W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Iva Ivanova W35 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 26/07 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 20/07 | Dalila Spiteri WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Francesca Gandolfi WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Jule Niemeier W100 Aschaffenburg |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Deborah Chiesa W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Rositsa Dencheva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/09 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 11/09 | Maria Lourdes Carle WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/09 | Francesca Jones WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 08/09 | Ipek Oz WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 07/09 | Miriana Tona WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Adelina Lachinova WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/08 | Anja Stankovic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Selena Janicijevic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Luna Vujovic W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alessandra Mazzola vs Rositsa Dencheva?
Our model gives 79% to Rositsa Dencheva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.