Tennis · W50 Plovdiv · 22/09, 10:00
Prediction: Jule Niemeier vs Lia Karatancheva
Team pages: Jule Niemeier · Lia Karatancheva
Prediction summary
Winner
Jule Niemeier
Lia Karatancheva
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Jule Niemeier
7-3 (W-L)
Lia Karatancheva
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jule Niemeier
0–1
Lia Karatancheva
(1 last)
- 15 Sept1-2 14-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jule Niemeier 1546 · Lia Karatancheva 1467
| Jule Niemeier | Lia Karatancheva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jule Niemeier (rating 1546 vs 1467).
- Jule Niemeier is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Jule Niemeier 0–1 Lia Karatancheva (1).
- Note: Jule Niemeier makes many double faults (10.3/match).
Statistics
| Jule Niemeier | Lia Karatancheva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-8.1 | 10.1-11.2 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 10.3 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 56.2% |
| Break % | 59.7% | 44% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Jule Niemeier 0 – 1 Lia Karatancheva (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jule Niemeier 0–1 Lia Karatancheva
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/26 W50 Pazardzhik | 1-2 | 14-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jule Niemeier
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Lia Karatancheva W50 Pazardzhik |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 06/09 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric WTA Montreux · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W50 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Irina Balus W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 01/08 | Sarah Van Emst W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/07 | Daria Yesypchuk W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Anastasiia Firman W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 29/07 | Sandra Samir W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 27/07 | Julie Myatovic W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Elfya Ba W50 Knokke-Heist |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Lia Karatancheva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Ipek Oz W50 Pazardzhik |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Beatrise Zeltina W50 Pazardzhik |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/09 | Jule Niemeier W50 Pazardzhik |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Federica Urgesi W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Ksenia Zaytseva W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 16/08 | Ikumi Yamazaki W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 11/08 | Lisa Zaar W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 04/08 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Nika Hurkacz WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/07 | Beatrice Ricci W35 Torino |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jule Niemeier vs Lia Karatancheva?
Our model gives 58% to Jule Niemeier, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.