Tennis · W50 Plovdiv · 23/09, 08:30

Prediction: Miriam Bulgaru vs Loes Ebeling Koning

Team pages: Miriam Bulgaru · Loes Ebeling Koning

Prediction summary
Winner
32% 68%
Miriam Bulgaru Loes Ebeling Koning
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Miriam Bulgaru 4-6 (W-L)
LLWLWLLWWL
Loes Ebeling Koning 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWLWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Miriam Bulgaru 1465 · Loes Ebeling Koning 1586
Miriam BulgaruLoes Ebeling Koning
Our model33%67%
Market31%69%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Loes Ebeling Koning (rating 1465 vs 1586).
  • Loes Ebeling Koning is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Miriam Bulgaru makes many double faults (4.1/match).

Statistics

Miriam BulgaruLoes Ebeling Koning
Win %40%70%
Win % · Clay 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.41.5-0.7
Games (G-P)8.9-11.112-9.6
Aces1.33.4
Double faults4.12.6
1st serve %57.4%67.8%
Break %50.2%57.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Miriam Bulgaru

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/09 Mia Ristic
WTA Ljubljana · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
14/09 Lina Gjorcheska
WTA Ljubljana · Clay
2-1 13-12 W
09/09 Irene Burillo Escorihuela
WTA Antalya · Clay
1-2 11-16 L
08/09 Federica Urgesi
WTA Antalya · Clay
2-1 14-14 W
27/08 Maria Golovina
W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 5-10 L
26/08 Alina Yuneva
W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
20/08 Samira De Stefano
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
19/08 Natalija Senic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
28/07 Carole Monnet
WTA Targu Mures · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
23/07 Francesca Jones
WTA Palermo · Clay
0-2 5-12 L

Loes Ebeling Koning

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/09 Elizara Yaneva
W50 Pazardzhik
1-2 16-19 L
18/09 Caijsa Wilda Hennemann
W50 Pazardzhik
2-0 12-6 W
17/09 Lidia Encheva
W50 Pazardzhik
2-0 12-5 W
16/09 Antonia Stoyanov
W50 Pazardzhik
2-1 15-11 W
15/09 Sapfo Sakellaridi
W50 Pazardzhik
2-0 12-6 W
03/09 Alice Tubello
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
0-2 8-13 L
02/09 Alena Kovackova
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
2-0 10-6 W
31/08 Demi Tran
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer
2-0 13-9 W
29/08 Nastasja Schunk
W50 Oldenzaal
0-2 9-13 L
28/08 Alicia Herrero Linana
W50 Oldenzaal
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Miriam Bulgaru vs Loes Ebeling Koning?

Our model gives 68% to Loes Ebeling Koning, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.