Tennis · W50 Plovdiv · 23/09, 08:30
Prediction: Julia Stamatova vs Valeria Garnevska
Team pages: Julia Stamatova · Valeria Garnevska
Prediction summary
Winner
Julia Stamatova
Valeria Garnevska
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Julia Stamatova
5-5 (W-L)
Valeria Garnevska
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Julia Stamatova
1–0
Valeria Garnevska
(1 last)
- 15 Sept2-0 12-1W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Julia Stamatova 1507 · Valeria Garnevska 1491
| Julia Stamatova | Valeria Garnevska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Julia Stamatova 1–0 Valeria Garnevska (1).
- Note: Julia Stamatova makes many double faults (6.9/match).
Statistics
| Julia Stamatova | Valeria Garnevska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-9.9 | 7.8-9.5 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 6.9 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 58.4% |
| Break % | 45.4% | 57.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
H2H · Julia Stamatova 1 – 0 Valeria Garnevska (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Julia Stamatova 1–0 Valeria Garnevska
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/25 W50 Pazardzhik | 2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Julia Stamatova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Joulia Cristiana Cirstea W15 Brasov |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Paula Cembranos W75 Hechingen |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Anna Kmiecik W100 Amstetten |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 03/07 | Nina Radovanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Samantha Imbo Nloga W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Alessia Antici W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Darya Velikova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Defne Cirpanli W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Dalila Spiteri W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Lidia Encheva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Valeria Garnevska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Giulia Safina Popa W15 Campulung |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 10/09 | Andreea Prisacariu W15 Campulung |
2-0 | 7-3 | W |
| 08/09 | Alexia-Shara Iancu W15 Campulung |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/09 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Mariia Masiianskaia W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Natalija Senic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Giulia Alexandra Musat W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Galena Krastenova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 17/06 | Lia Karatancheva W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Masa Jankovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Julia Stamatova vs Valeria Garnevska?
Our model gives 51% to Julia Stamatova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.